THE LOGIC OF CAUSATION
Phase Three: Software Assisted Analysis
The approach in the second phase was very ‘manual’ and time consuming; the third phase is intended to ‘mechanize’ much of the work involved by means of spreadsheets (to begin with). This increases reliability of calculations (though no errors were found, in fact) – and also allows for a wider scope. Indeed, we are now able to produce a larger, 4-item grand matrix, and on its basis find the moduses of causative and other forms needed to investigate 4-item syllogism. As well, now each modus can be interpreted with greater precision and causation can be more precisely defined and treated.
In this latest phase, the research is brought to a successful finish! Its main ambition, to obtain a complete and reliable listing of all 3-item and 4-item causative syllogisms, being truly fulfilled. This was made technically feasible, in spite of limitations in computer software and hardware, by cutting up problems into smaller pieces. For every mood of the syllogism, it was thus possible to scan for conclusions ‘mechanically’ (using spreadsheets), testing all forms of causative and preventive conclusions. Until now, this job could only be done ‘manually’, and therefore not exhaustively and with certainty. It took over 72’000 pages of spreadsheets to generate the sought for conclusions.
This is a historic breakthrough for causal logic and logic in general. Of course, not all conceivable issues are resolved. There is still some work that needs doing, notably with regard to 5-item causative syllogism. But what has been achieved solves the core problem. The method for the resolution of all outstanding issues has definitely now been found and proven. The only obstacle to solving most of them is the amount of labor needed to produce the remaining (less important) tables. As for 5-item syllogism, bigger computer resources are also needed.
22.7-11A 22.7-11B 22.7-12A 22.7-12B 22.7-13A 22.7-13B 22.7-14A 22.7-14B 22.7-15A 22.7-15B 22.7-16A 22.7-16B 22.7-17A 22.7-17B 22.7-18A 22.7-18B22.7-21A 22.7-21B 22.7-22A 22.7-22B 22.7-23A 22.7-23B 22.7-24A 22.7-24B 22.7-25A 22.7-25B 22.7-26A 22.7-26B 22.7-27A 22.7-27B 22.7-28A 22.7-28B
Note: Phase III of the research resulted in so many and so large tables (some of them hundreds and even thousands of pages long) that it was impossible to include them all in the printed edition. For this reason all are published here, online, for your scrutiny.